GEO: QUIET
7
A/B (quiet)
The Sun is currently in a quiet state with geomagnetic conditions at Kp 2.0. Solar activity remains moderate, with F10.7 flux holding steady at 142.0 sfu.
Solar activity is dominated by nine active regions across the disk, though current flare production is limited to minor C-class events. The GOES X-ray flux remains in the low range, indicating no significant impulsive solar eruptions. Geomagnetic activity is stable, and there are no ongoing storms to impact satellite or power grid operations.
The 40% M-class flare probability is the most important metric as it reflects the potential for sudden solar eruptive activity from the current population of active regions.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet with Kp levels oscillating between 2.0 and 2.7. While there is a 40% probability for M-class flares due to the number of active regions, no significant disruptive space weather events are expected.
Aurora activity is currently restricted to high-latitude regions. Observers at mid-latitudes (40-60°N) are unlikely to see significant aurora displays under these quiet conditions.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4463 | N16W04 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4462 | N16W35 | Dsi/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4459 | N14W56 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4456 | N18W87 | Eso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4464 | S12W03 | Ehi/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4466 | N06W31 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4465 | N09E40 | Dsi/BG | 2/0/0 |
Monitor AR4465 as it rotates further into view; its magnetic complexity and flare potential are the primary variables for increased activity in the coming 24 hours.