Current solar activity is stable with the magnetosphere remaining in a quiet state. While geomagnetic conditions are settled, the presence of eight active regions maintains a moderate probability for impulsive flare activity.
⚠ Electron flux F3 reached · 4 more below
Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain largely quiet through the next 24 hours, with only a slight, transient uptick to Kp 3 early tomorrow morning.
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Solar flare potential remains elevated for C-class events, with a non-negligible 70% probability for M-class activity originating from the more complex active regions.
Aurora visibility is not expected for mid-latitudes (40-60°N) under current quiet conditions.
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Observers at very high polar latitudes may see faint, quiet auroral displays, but standard mid-latitude regions should not anticipate significant activity.
Monitor active region AR4498 as it rotates further into view; any rapid increase in magnetic complexity could shift our flare potential outlook.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
109.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4500 | N18E57 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4494 | S03W41 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4499 | N04E19 | Dro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4496 | N05W08 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4498 | N14E49 | Dai/B | 2/0/0 |
| AR4492 | N16W62 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4495 | S02W53 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4497 | S19W63 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h