GEO: QUIET
7
A/B (quiet)
Current solar conditions are quiet with the planetary K-index remaining at stable levels. While flare production is frequent, activity is confined to the C-class range.
The sun is currently exhibiting a moderate level of activity, underscored by an F10.7 solar radio flux of 142.0 sfu. Geomagnetic conditions are quiet, with Kp levels hovering around 2.7. There are nine active regions present on the solar disk, though none are currently showing signs of complex magnetic configurations capable of major eruptive events.
The M-class flare probability of 45% is the most critical metric as it indicates a moderate likelihood of localized radio propagation disturbances on the sunlit side of Earth.
Geomagnetic activity is expected to remain low, with the Kp index likely to fluctuate between 2 and 3. We anticipate continued minor flare activity, with a 45% probability of M-class flares as the current sunspot regions evolve.
Aurora activity is expected to remain limited to high-latitude regions. Observers at mid-latitudes (40-60°N) are unlikely to see significant auroral displays under current conditions.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4465 | N09E56 | Dsi/BG | 10/0/0 |
| AR4464 | S12E10 | Dsi/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4463 | N16E10 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4462 | N16W21 | Dsi/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4459 | N14W42 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4458 | S06W89 | Hax/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4456 | N18W73 | Esi/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor AR4465 as it rotates further into view; its current development could influence flare potential over the next 24 hours.