GEO: QUIET
8
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity remains at quiet to unsettled levels with no significant geomagnetic storms expected. While active region 4465 shows potential, current X-ray flux remains well within background levels.
The solar disk features ten active regions, maintaining a moderate F10.7 flux of 142.0 sfu. Geomagnetic conditions are stable with a Kp-index of 2.7, indicating a quiet magnetosphere. Recent activity is limited to minor C-class flares, posing no immediate threat to terrestrial infrastructure or satellite operations.
The current Kp-index of 2.7 confirms a quiet geomagnetic field, meaning no widespread space weather impacts are anticipated.
Geomagnetic stability is expected to persist over the next 24 hours, with Kp values likely to remain at or below 2.7. While there is a 40% probability of M-class flares, overall solar output should remain calm.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes. Activity remains confined to high-latitude polar regions where auroras are currently occurring at low intensity.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4467 | S08W09 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4466 | N06W31 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4465 | N09E40 | Dsi/BG | 2/0/0 |
| AR4464 | S12W03 | Dsi/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4463 | N16W04 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4462 | N16W35 | Dsi/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4456 | N18W87 | Eso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4459 | N14W56 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the magnetic evolution of Active Region 4465 as it rotates into a more geo-effective position, as its complex magnetic configuration warrants observation for potential M-class flare production.