GEO: QUIET
9
A/B (quiet)
Geomagnetic activity is currently at low levels with a planetary K-index of 1.0. Solar activity remains moderate, with 13 active regions and a 55% probability of M-class flares in the next 24 hours.
The Earth’s magnetosphere is quiet, reflecting a lull following a brief period of unsettled conditions. With an F10.7 flux of 106 sfu, solar output is moderate but steady. While 13 active regions are present on the solar disk, overall X-ray activity is currently limited to low-level C-class events.
The 55% probability for M-class flares is the primary metric to watch, as these could cause brief, localized radio signal degradation on the sunlit side of Earth.
Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain quiet with Kp indices hovering between 1 and 2. While minor radio fluctuations are possible due to the 55% M-class flare probability, no significant geomagnetic storms are anticipated.
Aurora visibility is restricted to high-latitude regions. Observers at mid-latitudes should not expect significant activity during this period.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4431 | S16E53 | Dao/B | 2/0/0 |
| AR4429 | S04E20 | Dso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4430 | N16W31 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4424 | N17W49 | Eai/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4425 | N05W19 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4423 | S10W67 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4420 | N16W83 | Cao/B | 4/0/0 |
| AR4428 | S23W27 | Dai/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4432 | N11E68 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the magnetic complexity of AR4431 and AR4424, as their configurations pose the highest likelihood for impulsive flare production.