GEO: QUIET
3
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity is currently low and stable with no significant geomagnetic disturbance. The Sun remains in a quiet state, characterized by minimal flare production and low planetary K-index values.
The solar environment is currently quiet, with F10.7 flux holding steady at 118 sfu. We are observing five active regions on the disk, primarily contributing minor C-class flare activity, but no significant energetic particle events or solar radiation storms are present. The magnetosphere is undisturbed, with the Kp-index currently sitting at 1.0.
The current Kp-index of 1.0 confirms a stable magnetosphere with no immediate risk to satellite operations or power grids.
Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain quiet, with a slight increase in activity late in the forecast window as the Kp-index may reach 3.0. Solar flare potential remains limited, with only a 20% chance for M-class events within the next 24 hours.
Aurora activity is expected to be minimal. Visibility for mid-latitudes (40-60°N) is unlikely at this time, as current geomagnetic indices remain well below the threshold for significant auroral displays.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4471 | N18E11 | Dso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4470 | N07E40 | Dao/B | 2/0/0 |
| AR4465 | N07W62 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the development of Active Region 4470, which currently shows the most complex magnetic configuration and potential for C-class flare activity.