M @ 08:04 UTC
GEO: UNSETTLED
4
A/B (quiet)
Geomagnetic activity is currently at an unsettled state, peaking at G1 storm thresholds due to an increasing Kp trend. Solar activity remains moderate with recent M-class flare production.
The planetary K-index has reached 4.7, indicating minor geomagnetic instability. While X-ray flux has returned to nominal levels following an M-class flare earlier today, the solar environment remains dynamic with six active regions currently monitored. The F10.7 index of 132 sfu reflects a moderate level of solar radiation.
The current Kp-index of 4.7 is the primary indicator of geomagnetic instability, serving as the benchmark for potential electrical grid fluctuations and aurora visibility.
Geomagnetic activity is expected to gradually subside from G1 levels over the next 12 hours. Kp values should taper off to approximately 3.3 by early tomorrow, returning the magnetosphere to a calmer state.
Minor aurora displays are possible at high latitudes (above 60°N) for the next several hours as the current G1 activity tapers off. Mid-latitude observers are unlikely to see significant activity, but should remain vigilant if Kp-index rebounds.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4487 | N09W28 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4482 | S08W29 | Cho/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4488 | N23W25 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4485 | S10W82 | Dac/BG | 1/1/0 |
Monitor the decay of active region AR4485 as it rotates toward the solar limb, as it remains the primary source for potential follow-up flare activity.