☀ Helios Solar Watch · 2026-10-12 04:00 UTC
QUIET
The Sun remains in a quiet state with geomagnetic activity holding at low levels. No significant solar flares or storm events are currently impacting the Earth’s space environment.
Visible light · 5 active regions
Extreme UV · 304 Å
Kp Index
1.7
5 or above = storm
Geomagnetic
G0
24 h max: G0
X-Ray
A/B
quiet
⚠ Kp 20 possible · 4 more below
Next 24 h
Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain quiet, with only minor, transient fluctuations in the Kp-index peaking at 3.33 in the early hours before stabilizing.
more
Flare activity is expected to stay low, with a 40% probability of minor C-class flares.
🌌 Aurora
Aurora activity is currently restricted to high polar latitudes.
more
There is no expected visibility for mid-latitudes (40-60°N) during this period.
👁 Watch for
Monitor the development of AR4551 as it tracks across the solar disk; its ‘Eko’ magnetic classification warrants attention for potential sudden increases in flare productivity.
▸ Detailed readings
Radio blackout
R0
(24 h max R0)
R0
(24 h max R0)
Radiation
S0
(24 h max S0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
F10.7
101.0
sfu
101.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4548 | S13W39 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4545 | N16W73 | Bxo/B | 2/0/0 |
| AR4549 | N09W67 | Eai/BD | 0/0/0 |
| AR4553 | N07E60 | Axx/A | 1/0/0 |
| AR4551 | S15E47 | Eko/BG | 1/0/0 |
NOAA messages
2026-10-11 19:11 Kp 20 possible (WATA20)
2026-10-11 17:02 Kp 30 possible (WATA30)
2026-10-11 04:57 Kp 4 expected (WARK04)
2026-10-10 21:45 Kp 5 (G1) reached (ALTK05)
2026-10-10 19:27 Kp 7 (G3) reached (ALTK07)
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h