GEO: QUIET
6
A/B (quiet)
The Sun remains in a stable state with low geomagnetic activity and minimal flaring. While current indices are quiet, a brief period of unsettled conditions is anticipated later today.
Solar activity is currently subdued with an F10.7 flux of 104 sfu and only minor C-class flare production. Nine active regions are present on the disk, but none show magnetic complexity high enough to suggest an immediate threat of major energetic events. Planetary Kp levels remain very low at 0.7, indicating a magnetically calm near-Earth environment.
The current Kp-index of 0.7 is the primary indicator of the existing geomagnetic stability, ensuring no disruptions for satellite or power grid operators.
Conditions are expected to remain largely quiet, though the Kp-index may tick upward to 4.33 during the 21:00 UTC window. This is a transient increase and is not expected to reach the threshold for a geomagnetic storm. Activity will likely subside back to lower levels by early tomorrow.
Aurora visibility is not expected for mid-latitudes. Even with the minor rise in the Kp-index, observers at latitudes between 40-60°N will not see significant displays, as conditions remain well below the required threshold for auroral expansion.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4475 | S10W36 | Dai/BG | 1/0/0 |
| AR4476 | N07W58 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4477 | S14E01 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4478 | S06E19 | Fkc/BGD | 0/0/0 |
| AR4479 | N15E01 | Dai/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4480 | S18W05 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the magnetic evolution of AR4478, which possesses an Fkc classification, as it represents the most significant region for potential flare development in the coming 24 hours.