GEO: QUIET
8
A/B (quiet)
Current solar conditions are quiet with geomagnetic levels remaining at G0. While solar activity is moderate with an F10.7 flux of 142 sfu, the current environment presents no immediate disruption to Earth-based systems.
The solar disk shows 36 active regions, with AR4461 serving as the primary source of recent M-class flare activity. Geomagnetic activity is currently at Kp 2.7, trending downward from previous unsettled periods. X-ray flux remains in the background levels, indicating a stable environment for satellite operations and radio communications.
The F10.7 flux of 142.0 sfu indicates a sustained moderate level of solar activity that maintains an ionized upper atmosphere, favorable for global radio wave propagation.
Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain quiet with Kp levels likely dropping to 2.0. Flare activity will persist at moderate levels, with a 45% probability of additional M-class events originating from the current active regions.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes (40-60°N). Observers should anticipate little to no auroral activity given the current quiet geomagnetic state.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4461 | S21E18 | Cro/B | 0/1/0 |
| AR4459 | N14W04 | Dsi/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4458 | S05W49 | Dhi/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4456 | N18W34 | Dai/BGD | 4/0/0 |
| AR4455 | N15W61 | Cho/BG | 1/0/0 |
| AR4464 | S12E52 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4462 | N16E19 | Dai/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4463 | N17E51 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the magnetic complexity of AR4461, as it remains the most likely source for potential M-class eruptions in the next 24 hours.