GEO: UNSETTLED
8
A/B (quiet)
Geomagnetic activity is currently trending downward from a Kp of 5.0 earlier today to a current Kp of 4.3. The solar environment remains moderately active with high F10.7 flux levels, though flare production is limited to frequent C-class events.
The planetary K-index is slowly returning to nominal levels after an elevated period of instability. With an F10.7 flux of 152.0 sfu and 38 active regions on the disk, solar activity remains robust, yet no significant X-ray bursts exceeding C-class magnitude have been recorded in the last 12 hours. Satellite and power grid operators should note the stabilizing interplanetary magnetic field, which is tapering off after recent minor G1 storming.
The current Kp-index of 4.3 indicates that while the atmosphere is recovering, geomagnetic influence remains elevated and unsettled.
Conditions are expected to transition to quiet levels by late morning as the current geomagnetic disturbance dissipates. Solar activity will likely remain steady with a high probability of further C-class flares, though significant radio blackouts are not anticipated.
Aurora visibility for mid-latitudes is diminishing; chances of observing active displays at 40-60°N are low for the remainder of the 24-hour window. Observers in high-latitude regions may still see minor activity as the Kp index settles.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4461 | S21E31 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4459 | N14E08 | Dsi/B | 4/0/0 |
| AR4458 | S05W35 | Dai/BD | 0/0/0 |
| AR4457 | S09W87 | Cso/B | 4/0/0 |
| AR4456 | N18W21 | Cri/BG | 0/0/0 |
| AR4455 | N15W48 | Dhi/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4463 | N16E63 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4462 | N17E32 | Dai/B | 2/0/0 |
Monitor the evolution of AR4459 and AR4462, as their complex magnetic configurations could produce M-class flares despite current stability.