GEO: QUIET
3
A/B (quiet)
The sun is currently in a quiet state with geomagnetic conditions remaining at G0 levels. While solar flare activity is subdued, elevated radio flux suggests the solar atmosphere remains energetic.
Current geomagnetic activity is at Kp 2.7, indicating quiet to unsettled conditions. The F10.7 flux index stands at 144.0 sfu, providing a steady baseline for ionospheric density. Solar activity is being driven by three primary active regions, with AR4482 recently producing an M-class flare, though no widespread impacts have been recorded.
The 55% probability of M-class flares, which indicates that while the sun is quiet now, the potential for localized radio interference remains notable for operators.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet with Kp values oscillating between 1.3 and 1.7. We anticipate continued C-class flare activity, with a non-negligible 55% probability of additional M-class flares as the active regions continue their transit.
Aurora activity is currently restricted to high-latitude polar regions. There is no expectation of visible auroras at mid-latitudes (40-60°N) within the next 24 hours.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4481 | N14E07 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4482 | S09E40 | Eki/BG | 0/1/0 |
| AR4485 | S11W15 | Cso/B | 1/0/0 |
Monitor AR4482 for further magnetic complexity changes, as this region remains the primary source for potential M-class flare activity over the next 12-24 hours.