M @ 16:07 UTC · M @ 16:38 UTC · M @ 17:41 UTC · M @ 03:37 UTC
GEO: QUIET
5
A/B (quiet)
Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet, following a series of M-class flares observed over the past 24 hours. The solar environment remains unsettled as active regions, particularly AR4436, continue to show potential for further impulsive flare activity.
The planetary K-index has dropped to 2.0 after a period of elevated activity. Solar flux is holding steady at 117.0 sfu, suggesting moderate solar activity levels. While X-ray flux is currently at background levels, the presence of several active regions, notably AR4436, keeps the probability for additional C-class flares at 55%.
The current Kp-index of 2.0 is the most important metric as it indicates a period of geomagnetic recovery after recent volatility.
Geomagnetic activity is expected to briefly reach G1 (minor) levels around 06:00 UTC due to residual influences, before tapering off to quiet levels for the remainder of the day. No sustained, high-intensity storming is anticipated.
Aurora visibility is restricted to high-latitude regions. Observers at mid-latitudes are unlikely to see significant activity, though a brief window of improved conditions is possible around 06:00 UTC.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4441 | N08E28 | Dro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4440 | N17E71 | Cao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4436 | N19W26 | Hsx/A | 1/2/0 |
| AR4438 | N20W70 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4439 | N06E68 | Dao/B | 1/0/0 |
Monitor AR4436 for any new impulsive M-class solar flares, which could temporarily disrupt shortwave radio communication on the sunlit side of Earth.