GEO: QUIET
7
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity remains at low levels with no significant geomagnetic storming expected over the next 24 hours. The solar disk currently hosts seven active regions, but none exhibit magnetic complexity sufficient to generate major eruptive events.
Geomagnetic conditions are quiet with Kp indices hovering near 2.3. The F10.7 solar radio flux is stable at 112 sfu, indicating moderate solar output, and X-ray flux remains within the background A/B-class levels. Despite the presence of seven active regions, current flare activity is limited to minor C-class emissions.
The current Kp index of 2.3 confirms that the magnetosphere is in a stable, quiet state with no immediate risk of geomagnetic disturbance.
Geomagnetic activity is expected to settle further, transitioning from unsettled levels of Kp 3.3 to a quiet state of Kp 2.0 by late in the period. Flare activity will likely remain constrained to low-level C-class events, with only a 5% probability of M-class flares.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes. Observers located at high latitudes may see minor activity as the K-index tapers off, but significant displays are unlikely given current planetary magnetic conditions.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4436 | N18W40 | Hsx/A | 2/0/0 |
| AR4442 | S16E44 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4439 | N06E52 | Dao/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4443 | S15E60 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4441 | N18E13 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4440 | N17E54 | Hax/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4438 | N20W85 | Dao/B | 1/0/0 |
Monitor AR4439 and AR4440 as they transit the eastern limb, as their evolving magnetic morphology is the primary candidate for any potential increase in flare productivity.