GEO: QUIET
5
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity is currently unsettled with a trend toward G1 (minor) geomagnetic storm conditions by late today. The solar flux remains elevated at 164 sfu, indicating robust activity despite the current lack of significant flare events.
The planetary K-index is currently at 3.0, following a brief period of minor geomagnetic fluctuations. With 8 active regions across the solar disk and an F10.7 flux of 164 sfu, the sun is maintaining a moderate output. X-ray flux is currently quiet, though a 40% probability exists for M-class flares in the next 24 hours.
The predicted Kp-index of 4.67 is the most critical metric as it signifies the likely onset of G1 geomagnetic storm conditions.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to reach the G1 (minor) storm threshold between 21:00 UTC today and 00:00 UTC tomorrow. Users of HF radio systems and satellite operators should remain aware of potential minor perturbations during this window.
Aurora visibility may extend to higher mid-latitudes, such as parts of northern Canada and Scandinavia, during the anticipated G1 window. Observers at lower mid-latitudes (40-50°N) are unlikely to see significant activity.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4466 | N06W57 | Cro/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4465 | N09E14 | Dhi/BG | 1/0/0 |
| AR4464 | S13W29 | Dsi/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4463 | N17W28 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4462 | N15W61 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the development of AR4465; its magnetic configuration (Dhi) carries the highest potential for M-class flare activity.