GEO: UNSETTLED
7
A/B (quiet)
Geomagnetic conditions are currently unsettled with a Kp-index of 4.0, though expected to remain below storm thresholds. Solar activity is characterized by a high probability of C-class flares as nine active regions traverse the solar disk.
The current planetary K-index is 4.0, representing a minor increase in geomagnetic unrest compared to previous days. With an F10.7 flux of 102.0 sfu, solar output is in the moderate range. While nine active regions are present, x-ray flux remains quiet, with only minor C-class activity observed in the last 12 hours.
The Kp-index of 4.0 is the most critical metric as it indicates the current level of geomagnetic instability affecting ionospheric conditions.
Geomagnetic activity is expected to trend toward lower levels, with Kp values projected to fluctuate between 1.5 and 3.5 over the next 24 hours. No significant geomagnetic storms are anticipated, and the environment will likely remain at G0 levels.
Aurora visibility is restricted to high latitudes. Observers at 40-60°N are unlikely to see activity unless a sudden, unforecasted uptick in the interplanetary magnetic field occurs.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4470 | N07W52 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4473 | S09W00 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4475 | S10E12 | Cki/BG | 1/0/0 |
| AR4476 | N08W16 | Dro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4477 | S13E40 | Bxi/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4478 | S06E63 | Fkc/BGD | 3/0/0 |
| AR4479 | N15E47 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
Monitor AR4478, which is currently the most complex region on the disk, for potential M-class flare development.