GEO: QUIET
7
A/B (quiet)
Geomagnetic activity is currently unsettled at Kp 3 but trending downward. Solar flare production remains limited to the C-class range, indicating a stable environment for satellite and radio operations.
The planetary K-index is at 3.0 following a period of minor fluctuations. The F10.7 solar radio flux is moderate at 117.0 sfu, supported by seven active regions currently on the solar disk. While flare production is consistent, the current X-ray output remains firmly in the quiet background levels with no M or X-class activity.
The current Kp-index of 3.0 is the most important metric, as its anticipated decline confirms that the geomagnetic field is returning to a state of equilibrium.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to stabilize over the next 24 hours, with the K-index likely to settle at quiet levels (Kp 1-2). Solar flare potential remains present, though the lack of complex magnetic structures suggests activity will stay confined to minor C-class events.
Aurora visibility is not expected for mid-latitudes (40-60°N) as geomagnetic levels decline. Only observers at very high latitudes may see minor, isolated auroral activity in the coming hours.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4470 | N08W52 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4473 | S07W04 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4475 | S09E07 | Eki/BG | 2/0/0 |
| AR4476 | N08W16 | Dro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4477 | S13E41 | Cri/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4478 | S06E63 | Fhc/BGD | 6/0/0 |
| AR4479 | N16E45 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor AR4478, currently rotating onto the disk at S06E63, for any sudden increases in magnetic complexity that could raise the probability of M-class flaring.