Category: Uncategorized

  • Solar Watch — May 13, 2026 | 06:00 UTC

    ☀ HELIOS SOLAR WATCH · 2026-05-13 04:00 UTC
    Solar activity remains quiet; geomagnetic conditions trending stable
    SOLAR: MODERATE
    GEO: QUIET

    Active Regions
    4
    X-Ray
    A/B (quiet)

    The Sun is currently in a state of quiet geomagnetic activity with minimal flare production. While moderate active regions are present, the overall space environment remains calm.

    HMI Continuum Intensity

    HMI Continuum · Visible Light

    SUVI 304 — Extreme UV

    SUVI 304Å · Extreme Ultraviolet

    R0
    Radio Blackouts
    24h max: R0

    S0
    Solar Radiation
    24h max: S0

    G0
    Geomagnetic Storm
    24h max: G0

    Planetary Kp-Index
    1.0
    0–9 scale · ≥5 = geomagnetic storm

    F10.7 Solar Flux
    144.0
    sfu · >150 = high activity

    The planetary K-index is holding steady at 1.0, reflecting a stable magnetic environment around Earth. Solar flux remains at a moderate 144.0 sfu, supported by the 24 active regions currently visible on the solar disk. X-ray flux is maintaining low background levels, with only minor C-class flare activity observed in the last 12 hours.

    Key Metric

    The Kp-index of 1.0 indicates that the magnetosphere is currently undisturbed, posing no risk to satellite operations or power grid stability.

    Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain in the quiet to unsettled range, with the Kp-index peaking near 3.0. No significant geomagnetic storms are anticipated within the next 24 hours.

    🌌 Aurora Outlook

    Aurora visibility for mid-latitudes remains low. Observers should not expect significant auroral displays, as current geomagnetic activity is insufficient to push the auroral oval toward lower latitudes.

    Region Location Class Flares C/M/X
    AR4435 N23W42 Hsx/A 0/0/0
    AR4433 S17W53 Hax/A 1/0/0
    AR4436 N18E27 Cao/B 3/0/0
    AR4432 N14W84 Eko/BG 4/0/0
    2026-05-12 13:26:26.800Space Weather Message Code: WATA20
    2026-05-10 14:14:33.073Space Weather Message Code: SUMXM5
    2026-05-10 13:55:57.383Space Weather Message Code: SUM10R
    2026-05-10 13:47:47.057Space Weather Message Code: ALTTP2
    2026-05-10 13:38:09.200Space Weather Message Code: ALTXMF

    Monitor the development of AR4436 as it rotates toward the center of the disk; any sudden increase in magnetic complexity could shift flare probabilities.