M @ 05:12 UTC · M @ 08:02 UTC · M @ 08:52 UTC · M @ 11:07 UTC · M @ 13:47 UTC
GEO: ACTIVE
4
A/B (quiet)
Geomagnetic activity is currently in a state of flux with a Kp of 6.3, though levels are expected to decline rapidly over the next few hours. The solar disk remains moderately active with recurring M-class flares from AR4479.
The planetary K-index is elevated at 6.3, indicating a lingering geomagnetic response from earlier solar activity. Solar flux remains moderate at 132.0 sfu, providing stable conditions for satellite communications, though the recent string of M-class flares suggests a magnetically complex environment in the active regions nearing the western limb.
A Kp-index of 6.3 signifies a G2-level geomagnetic disturbance, which is the primary driver of current, albeit fading, high-latitude auroral activity.
Geomagnetic conditions are trending toward quiet levels, with the Kp-index projected to fall to 3.0 or lower within the next 6 to 9 hours. No significant storming is anticipated for the remainder of the 24-hour window.
While currently elevated, auroral displays are retreating toward high latitudes. Mid-latitude observers are unlikely to see significant activity tonight as the Kp-index drops below the threshold required for visibility at 40-60°N.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4480 | S18W82 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4479 | N16W79 | Fkc/BGD | 4/9/0 |
| AR4481 | N14E46 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4478 | S06W61 | Fko/BG | 0/0/0 |
Monitor AR4479 for any final impulsive M-class flares as it continues to rotate toward the western limb of the solar disk.