GEO: QUIET
6
A/B (quiet)
Current solar conditions are quiet with the planetary K-index holding at 1.7. Despite the lack of current geomagnetic disturbance, the solar flux remains at a moderate 141 sfu, indicating a steady level of solar activity.
The sun is presently quiet with no significant geomagnetic storms or radio blackouts reported. While the geomagnetic field is stable, eight active regions are currently present on the solar disk. These regions are primarily characterized by simple magnetic configurations, keeping X-ray flux in the A and B ranges.
The F10.7 solar flux of 141 sfu is the most important metric as it reflects the baseline intensity of the solar cycle, which continues to provide robust conditions for shortwave radio propagation despite the lack of storming.
Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain quiet, with the K-index likely hovering between 1.5 and 2.0. Solar flare probability remains moderate for C-class events, with a slight 55% chance for M-class flares as the identified active regions evolve.
Aurora visibility is restricted to high latitudes. There is no significant geomagnetic activity anticipated that would push auroral displays toward mid-latitudes (40-60°N) at this time.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4483 | S07W42 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4481 | N14E20 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4478 | S06W90 | Eko/BG | 0/0/0 |
| AR4484 | N12W16 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4482 | S09E54 | Eko/BG | 0/0/0 |
| AR4485 | S10W01 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the magnetic evolution of active regions AR4478 and AR4482, as their complexity poses the highest potential for impulsive solar flare activity in the next 12-24 hours.