Category: Uncategorized

  • Solar Watch — October 06, 2026 | 18:00 UTC

    ☀ Helios Solar Watch · 2026-10-06 16:00 UTC
    QUIET

    Solar activity is currently characterized by moderate flare production from active region AR4549, though geomagnetic conditions remain quiet. The environment is unsettled but lacks the current input to drive significant auroral displays.

    ⚡ Flare activity — last 12 h
    Peak: M @ 08:05 UTC (7h 55min ago) · M @ 05:57 UTC · M @ 06:28 UTC · M @ 07:56 UTC
    HMI Continuum Intensity

    Visible light · 4 active regions

    SUVI 304 — Extreme UV

    Extreme UV · 304 Å

    Kp Index
    2.7
    5 or above = storm

    Geomagnetic
    G0
    24 h max: G0

    X-Ray
    A/B
    quiet


    ⚠ ALTTP2 · 4 more below
    Next 24 h

    Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain in the G0 (quiet) to unsettled range as no significant coronal mass ejections are currently Earth-directed.

    more

    Flare activity will likely persist at moderate levels, with a 15% probability of additional M-class events originating from AR4549 over the next 24 hours.

    🌌 Aurora

    Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes.

    more

    Observers in high-latitude regions may see minor, sub-visual auroral activity, but conditions are currently unfavorable for significant displays.

    👁 Watch for

    Monitor the magnetic complexity of AR4549; any further increase in spot development could elevate the risk of sudden X-ray flux increases or potential Earth-directed energetic events.

    ▸ Detailed readings

    Radio blackout
     R0
    (24 h max R0)
    Radiation
     S0
    (24 h max S0)
    F10.7
     131.0
    sfu

    Region Location Class Flares C/M/X
    AR4545 N18W06 Dao/B 0/0/0
    AR4548 S12E25 Hsx/A 0/0/0
    AR4549 N10E01 Dai/BGD 5/2/0
    AR4547 N15W59 Bxi/B 0/0/0
    NOAA messages
    2026-10-06 06:15  ALTTP2 (ALTTP2)
    2026-10-06 05:07  Electron flux F3 reached (ALTEF3)
    2026-10-06 03:43  Kp 4 expected (WARK04)
    2026-10-05 03:52  Kp 5 (G1) reached (ALTK05)
    2026-10-05 03:50  Kp 5 (G1) expected (WARK05)


    Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h