Category: Uncategorized

  • Solar Watch — October 12, 2026 | 18:00 UTC

    ☀ Helios Solar Watch · 2026-10-12 16:00 UTC
    QUIET

    Current solar activity is quiet with stable conditions across the disk. Geomagnetic activity is trending slightly upward toward unsettled levels, though no significant storms are anticipated.

    HMI Continuum Intensity

    Visible light · 6 active regions

    SUVI 304 — Extreme UV

    Extreme UV · 304 Å

    Kp Index
    0.7
    5 or above = storm

    Geomagnetic
    G0
    24 h max: G0

    X-Ray
    A/B
    quiet


    ⚠ Kp 20 possible · 4 more below
    Next 24 h

    Geomagnetic conditions are expected to reach the unsettled threshold of Kp 4 within the next 24 hours.

    more

    Solar flare activity will likely remain limited to occasional C-class events, with the probability for M-class flares currently sitting at 5%.

    🌌 Aurora

    Aurora visibility is restricted to high-latitude regions.

    more

    At Kp 4, observers in far-northern locations such as high-latitude Canada or Scandinavia may witness faint displays, but mid-latitude visibility is not expected.

    👁 Watch for

    Monitor the magnetic evolution of AR4554 as it rotates toward the center of the disk for any signs of complexity that could elevate flaring probability.

    ▸ Detailed readings

    Radio blackout
     R0
    (24 h max R0)
    Radiation
     S0
    (24 h max S0)
    F10.7
     101.0
    sfu

    Region Location Class Flares C/M/X
    AR4551 S15E34 Eko/B 0/0/0
    AR4545 N17W86 Bxo/B 0/0/0
    AR4548 S13W53 Hsx/A 0/0/0
    AR4553 N07E47 Bxo/B 0/0/0
    AR4554 N07E61 Cro/B 0/0/0
    AR4549 N09W81 Dao/BD 1/0/0
    NOAA messages
    2026-10-11 19:11  Kp 20 possible (WATA20)
    2026-10-11 17:02  Kp 30 possible (WATA30)
    2026-10-11 04:57  Kp 4 expected (WARK04)
    2026-10-10 21:45  Kp 5 (G1) reached (ALTK05)
    2026-10-10 19:27  Kp 7 (G3) reached (ALTK07)


    Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h