GEO: QUIET
6
A/B (quiet)
Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet with the Kp-index holding at 1.0. Solar activity remains stable, with no significant disturbances expected in the next 24 hours.
The planetary K-index remains at a low level of 1.0, reflecting stable geomagnetic conditions. With the F10.7 solar flux at 99 sfu and X-ray flux currently in the background A/B range, the solar environment is tranquil. Despite the presence of several active regions on the disk, solar flare output has been minimal.
The M-class flare probability of 55% is the primary indicator to watch, as it suggests the potential for increased activity despite current quiet conditions.
Conditions are expected to remain quiet for the next 24 hours, with the Kp-index forecast to fluctuate between 1 and 2. No significant geomagnetic storms are anticipated, and radio propagation should remain at nominal levels.
Aurora visibility is restricted to high-latitude polar regions. Mid-latitude observers should not expect auroral activity under current stable conditions.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4444 | S19E38 | Dso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4439 | N06W29 | Hrx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4441 | N09W71 | Ehi/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4443 | S16W18 | Dso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4446 | S13E75 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4445 | N07E48 | Hrx/A | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the development of AR4444 and AR4446 as they rotate across the solar disk, as these regions represent the highest potential for flare activity.