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  • Solar Watch — October 11, 2026 | 18:00 UTC

    ☀ Helios Solar Watch · 2026-10-11 16:00 UTC
    QUIET

    Solar activity is currently stable, but a transient disturbance is expected to push geomagnetic conditions into G2 (moderate) storm levels later today. Expect a brief period of increased activity before returning to quiet conditions.

    HMI Continuum Intensity

    Visible light · 5 active regions

    SUVI 304 — Extreme UV

    Extreme UV · 304 Å

    Kp Index
    2.3
    5 or above = storm

    Geomagnetic
    G0
    24 h max: G2

    X-Ray
    A/B
    quiet


    ⚠ Kp 4 expected · 4 more below
    Next 24 h

    Geomagnetic activity is forecast to rise to Kp 5.67 (G2 storm) around 21:00 UTC on October 11. Conditions are expected to moderate rapidly, returning to Kp 3.0 shortly after midnight.

    🌌 Aurora

    Mid-latitude observers should prepare for potential aurora visibility during the evening hours of October 11 as the geomagnetic disturbance arrives.

    more

    Optimal viewing will be between 21:00 UTC and midnight, specifically at high northern latitudes.

    👁 Watch for

    Monitor the actual Kp-index readings around 21:00 UTC to verify if the anticipated magnetic shock arrives as modeled.

    ▸ Detailed readings

    Radio blackout
     R0
    (24 h max R0)
    Radiation
     S0
    (24 h max S0)
    F10.7
     107.0
    sfu

    Region Location Class Flares C/M/X
    AR4545 N16W73 Bxo/B 0/0/0
    AR4551 S15E48 Eko/BG 1/0/0
    AR4548 S13W39 Hsx/A 0/0/0
    AR4549 N09W67 Eki/BD 0/0/0
    AR4552 N23W45 Axx/A 0/0/0
    NOAA messages
    2026-10-11 04:57  Kp 4 expected (WARK04)
    2026-10-10 21:45  Kp 5 (G1) reached (ALTK05)
    2026-10-10 19:27  Kp 7 (G3) reached (ALTK07)
    2026-10-10 18:37  Kp 6 (G2) reached (ALTK06)
    2026-10-10 17:42  Kp 7 (G3) expected (WARK07)


    Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h