M @ 01:46 UTC
GEO: QUIET
4
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity is currently characterized by moderate background levels following a recent M-class flare. Geomagnetic conditions remain quiet, with only minor, short-lived fluctuations in the Kp index expected.
The solar disk currently hosts several active regions, with AR4470 and AR4472 being the primary points of interest. An M-class flare occurred within the last two hours, but overall X-ray flux is returning to baseline levels. The F10.7 solar radio flux stands at 126 sfu, indicating moderate solar activity.
The F10.7 radio flux of 126 sfu is the most important metric, as it confirms the Sun is in a period of moderate activity capable of producing periodic M-class flares.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain unsettled but quiet over the next 24 hours, with Kp levels peaking near 3.67 before subsiding. No significant geomagnetic storms are currently anticipated.
Aurora visibility is not expected for mid-latitudes (40-60°N) at this time. Observers at high polar latitudes may see minor activity, but there is no currently forecasted driver for widespread mid-latitude displays.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4472 | S13E68 | Hax/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4471 | N18W02 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4470 | N06E28 | Dao/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4465 | N07W76 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the magnetic evolution of AR4470 as it rotates further onto the disk, as its complex structure may present a renewed risk for further M-class eruptive activity.