M @ 12:22 UTC
GEO: QUIET
7
A/B (quiet)
Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet, though solar flare potential remains elevated following an M-class event earlier today. Eight active regions are currently visible on the solar disk.
The planetary K-index is stable at 0.7, reflecting a very quiet geomagnetic environment. Solar activity is characterized by a moderate F10.7 flux of 113.0 sfu and a recent M-class flare recorded at 12:22 UTC. This indicates that while the solar magnetic field is currently calm, the solar surface harbors enough complexity to warrant monitoring.
The 55% probability of M-class flares is the most important metric, as it suggests the potential for minor radio propagation disturbances on the sunlit side of Earth.
Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain quiet, with Kp levels peaking at approximately 2.0. Flare activity is likely to continue at the C-class level, with a 55% statistical probability of further M-class eruptions over the next 24 hours.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes. Observers in high-latitude regions may see only faint, quiet-time auroral displays, as current solar wind conditions are not sufficient to drive significant geomagnetic activity.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4423 | S05W24 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4425 | N05E22 | Ekc/BGD | 1/0/0 |
| AR4424 | N16W08 | Dso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4420 | N16W43 | Fkc/BGD | 5/0/0 |
| AR4427 | S31E26 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4428 | S23E12 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4421 | S12W31 | Hax/A | 0/0/0 |
Monitor AR4425 for continued magnetic complexity, as its configuration suggests the highest potential for further eruptive activity in the coming 12-24 hours.