GEO: QUIET
7
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity remains at low levels with the geomagnetic field currently stable. While the sun is quiet, a 55% probability of M-class flares indicates a non-negligible potential for sudden activity.
The planetary K-index is currently 2.3, indicating quiet geomagnetic conditions with no significant disturbances. Ten active regions are visible on the disk, but their current magnetic complexity has only produced minor C-class flaring in the last 12 hours. The F10.7 solar radio flux is holding steady at 102 sfu, reflecting a period of moderate solar cycle baseline activity.
The 55% M-class flare probability is the most critical metric as it identifies a lingering risk of sudden solar eruptions despite the currently calm environment.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet to unsettled, with the Kp-index peaking near 2.67 by early tomorrow. No major solar radiation storms or significant radio blackouts are anticipated within the next 24 hours.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes; observers should not anticipate significant displays. Activity is restricted to the high-latitude polar regions under typical conditions.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4429 | S04E35 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4427 | S29W00 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4423 | S10W53 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4428 | S24W13 | Dai/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4425 | N05W03 | Ekc/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4420 | N16W70 | Fkc/BGD | 4/0/0 |
| AR4424 | N17W35 | Eai/BGD | 1/0/0 |
Monitor active region AR4424 for potential magnetic evolution, as its current classification remains susceptible to minor flare growth.