GEO: QUIET
4
A/B (quiet)
The Sun remains in a state of stable, quiet activity with no significant geomagnetic disturbances expected. Current conditions are characterized by low flare output and stable planetary magnetic levels.
Geomagnetic activity is quiet with the Kp-index holding at 2.0. Solar activity, as measured by the F10.7 flux, remains at a moderate 138 sfu, consistent with the current phase of the solar cycle. There are four primary active regions on the disk, but none currently possess the magnetic complexity required for significant flaring events.
The F10.7 flux of 138 sfu is the primary indicator of ongoing solar activity, suggesting that while the disk is currently calm, the Sun maintains sufficient energy to support potential future flare development.
Conditions are expected to remain stable and quiet through the next 24 hours. The Kp-index is forecast to oscillate slightly between 1.5 and 2.3, keeping the geomagnetic environment well below storm thresholds.
Aurora visibility is restricted to high-latitude regions near the poles. No significant displays are expected for mid-latitude observers at 40-60°N given the current lack of solar wind driving.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4491 | S11E63 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4489 | S07E27 | Hax/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4490 | N15E17 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4482 | S09W82 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the development of Active Region 4491 as it rotates further onto the visible disk, as its evolution will determine potential flare activity in the coming days.