The Sun is currently showing moderate activity levels with a primary focus on AR4513, which produced an M-class flare in the last 12 hours. Geomagnetic conditions remain in the unsettled range with no significant storm activity predicted at this time.
⚠ Kp 4 expected · 4 more below
Geomagnetic activity is expected to remain unsettled over the next 24 hours, with Kp levels potentially peaking near 3.67 as minor disturbances pass.
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Flare probability for M-class events remains elevated at 55%, primarily due to the magnetic complexity of AR4513.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes (40-60°N).
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Observers in high-latitude regions may see localized activity, but significant displays are unlikely given current planetary Kp levels.
Monitor the magnetic evolution of AR4513 as it nears the limb; any sudden changes in its magnetic structure could indicate an increased risk of further M-class or higher impulsive solar flares.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
107.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4513 | N03E81 | Dao/B | 2/1/0 |
| AR4507 | N04W69 | Ehi/BGD | 8/0/0 |
| AR4508 | N08W37 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4506 | N12W86 | Dao/B | 1/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h