Current solar conditions are unsettled with a planetary K-index of 2.7 and moderate flare potential from active regions. While geomagnetic activity is currently quiet, there is a sustained 55% probability for M-class flares over the next 24 hours.
⚠ Kp 5 (G1) reached · 4 more below
Geomagnetic activity is expected to remain in the unsettled range, with the Kp index likely peaking near 4.0 by early August 20th.
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Solar flare activity will likely continue to produce occasional C-class events, with a moderate 55% chance of an M-class flare occurring.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes for the next 24 hours.
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Observers at high latitudes may see minor activity, but current solar wind conditions are insufficient to drive displays into lower latitudes.
Monitor the magnetic complexity of AR4507 as it rotates toward the solar limb, as any sudden increase in magnetic shear could increase the likelihood of moderate flare output.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
111.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4507 | N04W69 | Ehi/BGD | 5/0/0 |
| AR4508 | N08W37 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4506 | N12W86 | Dro/B | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h