M @ 20:42 UTC · M @ 21:13 UTC
GEO: UNSETTLED
5
A/B (quiet)
Geomagnetic conditions are currently active following a recent X-class solar flare. A G1-level geomagnetic storm is in progress as we observe the planetary response to solar wind enhancements.
The Kp-index is hovering at 4.7, indicating active conditions with a G1 geomagnetic storm peak. AR4479 remains the primary point of interest, having recently produced an X-class flare, while solar flux is at a moderate 116.0 sfu. Satellite and radio operators should note that the solar environment is currently volatile.
The current Kp-index of 4.7 is the primary indicator of ongoing geomagnetic unrest resulting from the recent solar eruptive events.
Geomagnetic activity is expected to trend downward over the next 24 hours, returning to quiet or unsettled levels by midday. Flare production remains likely, with a 55% probability of additional M-class activity from current active regions.
At a Kp of 4.7, auroral activity may be visible at high latitudes, primarily across Canada and northern Scandinavia. Mid-latitude observers are unlikely to see significant displays, but those at high northern latitudes should monitor the skies for brief auroral enhancement.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4480 | S18W30 | Cso/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4479 | N16W24 | Eki/BGD | 1/0/1 |
| AR4478 | S05W06 | Fki/BGD | 2/0/0 |
| AR4477 | S14W31 | Bxo/B | 2/0/0 |
| AR4475 | S09W63 | Dai/B | 5/2/0 |
Monitor AR4479 for any secondary eruptive signatures, as its complex magnetic configuration retains the potential for further M-class or X-class flares.