M @ 11:22 UTC · M @ 11:54 UTC · M @ 12:25 UTC · M @ 14:30 UTC · M @ 15:01 UTC
GEO: QUIET
4
A/B (quiet)
Active region AR4479 is exhibiting a high frequency of M-class solar flares, indicating significant solar atmospheric volatility. While flare activity is elevated, geomagnetic conditions currently remain in the unsettled range with no significant storming at Earth.
The Sun currently displays moderate activity, with an F10.7 flux of 116.0 sfu and 8 active regions across the disk. AR4479 has been particularly productive, generating six M-class flares in the last 12 hours. Despite this high flare output, Earth’s geomagnetic field is largely stable, with the Kp-index hovering at 3.0.
The persistent M-class flaring from AR4479 is the primary indicator of ongoing solar volatility that could impact high-frequency radio propagation on the sunlit side of Earth.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain unsettled over the next 24 hours, with Kp levels peaking at approximately 4.33 by late today. Solar flare probability remains high, and additional M-class events are likely as AR4479 continues its rotation.
Auroral activity is unlikely at mid-latitudes (40-60°N). Observers at high northern latitudes may see minor, isolated activity, but there is currently no indication of a significant geomagnetic storm.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4480 | S18W44 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4479 | N16W38 | Eki/BGD | 1/6/0 |
| AR4478 | S05W20 | Fki/BGD | 1/0/0 |
| AR4475 | S09W77 | Dai/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor AR4479 for any sudden, complex magnetic shifts that could signal the potential for X-class flare production.