GEO: QUIET
4
A/B (quiet)
Geomagnetic conditions are currently quiet with the planetary K-index hovering near 2.7. Solar activity is characterized by a moderate 136 sfu flux and low-level flare production.
The sun is exhibiting typical behavior for a moderate cycle, with 26 active regions currently cataloged across the disk. X-ray flux remains in the background levels, punctuated only by occasional C-class flares, the most recent occurring at 03:41 UTC. Geomagnetic activity is stable at G0, posing no immediate concerns for power grids or satellite operations.
The F10.7 flux of 136 sfu indicates a moderate level of solar activity that supports stable radio propagation conditions for most bands.
Expect geomagnetic conditions to trend downward toward Kp 1.67 over the next 24 hours as solar wind parameters remain nominal. Solar flare probabilities remain at 80% for C-class events, with minimal risk of M-class or X-class activity.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes (40-60°N). Observations should be restricted to high-latitude regions, where only minor displays are possible.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4435 | N23W55 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4438 | N19W30 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4436 | N18E13 | Dai/B | 3/0/0 |
| AR4433 | S16W67 | Hrx/A | 1/0/0 |
Monitor the development of AR4436, as its complex magnetic configuration may evolve over the next 24 hours.