GEO: QUIET
5
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity is currently stable, with the planetary K-index rising slightly to 3.0. While active regions are present, flare production remains confined to minor C-class events.
The Sun shows 7 active regions, but magnetic complexity remains low, resulting in a quiet R0 radio environment. F10.7 solar flux is holding at 144 sfu, indicating moderate solar cycle activity. Current geomagnetic conditions are unsettled but well within normal parameters, with no significant impacts on terrestrial infrastructure.
The Kp index of 3.0 indicates current unsettled geomagnetic conditions, though it remains below storm thresholds.
Expect the K-index to oscillate between 2.0 and 3.67 over the next 24 hours. No significant geomagnetic or radiation storms are anticipated during this period as the solar wind environment remains nominal.
Aurora visibility for mid-latitudes remains low. Observers in northern-most regions may see minor activity, but there is no expectation of geomagnetic storming that would extend auroral displays further south.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4433 | S16W67 | Hrx/A | 1/0/0 |
| AR4435 | N23W55 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4437 | N15W82 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4436 | N18E13 | Dai/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4438 | N19W30 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor AR4436, as its location and structure present the highest probability for a potential M-class flare over the next 24 hours.