Solar Watch — October 09, 2026 | 18:00 UTC

☀ Helios Solar Watch · 2026-10-09 16:00 UTC
QUIET

Geomagnetic activity is forecast to escalate into G2 (moderate) storm levels over the next several hours. This follows recent instability and an earlier M-class flare, marking a shift toward active space weather conditions.

⚡ Flare activity — last 12 h
Peak: M @ 14:09 UTC (1h 51min ago) · M @ 14:05 UTC
HMI Continuum Intensity

Visible light · 4 active regions

SUVI 304 — Extreme UV

Extreme UV · 304 Å

Kp Index
2.0
5 or above = storm

Geomagnetic
G0
24 h max: G2

X-Ray
A/B
quiet


⚠ Kp 4 reached · 4 more below
Next 24 h

Geomagnetic conditions are expected to peak at Kp 6 (G2) between 18:00 UTC today and 00:00 UTC. Conditions should begin to subside back to quiet levels by early tomorrow as the current solar wind structure passes Earth’s magnetic field.

🌌 Aurora

Observers at higher mid-latitudes, particularly in Canada and Scandinavia, should prepare for potential aurora displays during the peak window this evening.

more

Visibility for lower mid-latitudes remains unlikely, though clear skies in northern-tier regions may offer improved viewing if the G2 threshold is sustained.

👁 Watch for

Monitor for any secondary M-class or X-class flare signatures from active region AR4549, as its position and magnetic complexity warrant continued observation.

▸ Detailed readings

Radio blackout
 R0
(24 h max R0)
Radiation
 S0
(24 h max S0)
F10.7
 112.0
sfu

Region Location Class Flares C/M/X
AR4548 S13W14 Hsx/A 0/0/0
AR4551 S13E71 Dso/B 0/0/0
AR4545 N18W46 Dro/B 0/0/0
AR4549 N10W41 Eki/BGD 3/0/0
NOAA messages
2026-10-09 10:01  Kp 4 reached (ALTK04)
2026-10-09 08:12  Kp 30 possible (WATA30)
2026-10-09 01:29  Kp 4 expected (WARK04)
2026-10-08 16:46  ALTTP2 (ALTTP2)
2026-10-08 16:44  ALTTP4 (ALTTP4)


Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h