Solar Watch — October 09, 2026 | 06:00 UTC

☀ Helios Solar Watch · 2026-10-09 04:00 UTC
QUIET

Geomagnetic conditions are currently unsettled with a Kp-index of 3.3. Activity is projected to climb toward G1-storm levels by midday today.

⚡ Flare activity — last 12 h
Peak: M @ 16:01 UTC (11h 59min ago) · M @ 16:01 UTC
HMI Continuum Intensity

Visible light · 3 active regions

SUVI 304 — Extreme UV

Extreme UV · 304 Å

Kp Index
3.3
5 or above = storm

Geomagnetic
G0
24 h max: G2

X-Ray
A/B
quiet


⚠ Kp 4 expected · 4 more below
Next 24 h

Geomagnetic conditions are forecast to escalate, reaching Kp 4.67 (G1 levels) by 12:00 UTC.

more

While overall flare probability remains moderate, AR4549 will be monitored closely for any further eruptive potential as it rotates across the solar disk.

🌌 Aurora

At a forecasted Kp 4.67, auroral activity is likely to be confined to high latitudes.

more

Observers in northern Canada, Scandinavia, and high-latitude regions may see increased activity; visibility at mid-latitudes (40-60°N) remains unlikely but possible under perfect dark-sky conditions.

👁 Watch for

Monitor the geomagnetic index for a breach of the Kp 5 threshold, which would signify the onset of a full G1-class storm.

▸ Detailed readings

Radio blackout
 R0
(24 h max R0)
Radiation
 S0
(24 h max S0)
F10.7
 112.0
sfu

Region Location Class Flares C/M/X
AR4548 S13W01 Hsx/A 0/0/0
AR4545 N17W33 Dso/B 0/0/0
AR4549 N10W29 Eki/BGD 4/1/0
NOAA messages
2026-10-09 01:29  Kp 4 expected (WARK04)
2026-10-08 16:46  ALTTP2 (ALTTP2)
2026-10-08 16:44  ALTTP4 (ALTTP4)
2026-10-08 16:04  X-ray flare M5 summary (SUMXM5)
2026-10-08 15:47  X-ray flare MF reached (ALTXMF)


Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h