Recent M-class flare activity has triggered a temporary R2 radio blackout, though geomagnetic conditions remain stable at Kp 2.0. Solar activity is currently defined by impulsive X-ray events rather than widespread geomagnetic disturbance.
⚠ X-ray flare MF reached · 4 more below
Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain quiet, with Kp indices hovering around 1.67 over the next 24 hours.
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There is a moderate 55% probability of further C-class flares and a residual 10% chance for additional M-class events as active regions transit the solar disk.
Aurora visibility is not expected for mid-latitudes (40-60°N) as geomagnetic activity remains below storm thresholds.
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Observers in high-latitude regions may see standard, quiet-time auroral activity.
Monitor active region AR4549 for further flare development, as its current magnetic complexity suggests continued potential for moderate eruptions.
▸ Detailed readings
R2
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
118.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4547 | N15W87 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4550 | S16W37 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4545 | N17W33 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4548 | S13W01 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4549 | N10W29 | Dki/BGD | 1/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h