Solar activity is transitioning from quiet to unsettled as Kp-index levels are forecast to climb into the 4-range over the next 24 hours. While currently stable, the increasing complexity of active regions warrants closer monitoring for potential impulsive activity.
⚠ Kp 20 possible · 4 more below
Expect a gradual increase in geomagnetic activity, with the planetary K-index likely reaching 4.33 by late today or early tomorrow.
more
While no major storming is currently predicted, the transition to unsettled conditions may create minor fluctuations for sensitive high-frequency communication systems.
Aurora visibility is currently restricted to high latitudes.
more
Given the forecast peak of Kp 4, observers at high-latitude locations (such as northern Canada or Scandinavia) may have a marginal opportunity to view displays, but mid-latitude observers are unlikely to see activity.
Monitor for any M-class flare activity, as the 55% probability suggests the current active regions possess enough complexity to produce more energetic bursts in the coming hours.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
106.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4541 | S05W69 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4535 | N12E35 | Cro/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4539 | S09E13 | Dso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4536 | N02W26 | Dsi/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4533 | S14E23 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4538 | N11W36 | Dai/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4537 | N07W40 | Dai/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4540 | S13W62 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4534 | N11W48 | Dai/B | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h