The sun is currently in a quiet state, characterized by low geomagnetic activity and minimal X-ray flare production. Planetary conditions remain well within nominal levels, indicating a calm space weather environment for Earth.
⚠ WARPX1 · 4 more below
Geomagnetic activity is expected to remain quiet with Kp indices persisting near 1.3 over the next 24 hours.
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The probability of significant M-class or X-class flares remains low at 10% and 1% respectively, suggesting a stable day ahead for all systems.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes (40-60°N).
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Observers should anticipate no significant auroral activity, as current solar wind parameters are insufficient to drive geomagnetic displays beyond the polar regions.
Monitor AR4524 for any structural evolution that might increase its magnetic complexity, which could shift the current flare probability higher.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
146.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4523 | N10E09 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4524 | N12E40 | Cso/B | 3/0/0 |
| AR4526 | S02E55 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4521 | N09W02 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4527 | N04E57 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4525 | N11E52 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h