Solar activity is currently low with the magnetic field in a largely stable state. A slight increase in geomagnetic activity is expected later in the day, though no significant storming is forecast.
⚠ SUM10R · 4 more below
Expect geomagnetic conditions to trend toward an unsettled state (Kp ~3) by 12:00 UTC as space weather parameters shift. Flare activity will likely remain capped at low C-class levels, with a 15% probability of isolated M-class events.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes (40-60°N) given the current Kp-index forecast.
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Observers at high latitudes may see minor activity, but clear skies and high-latitude proximity are required for any visual confirmation.
Monitor the evolution of AR4551, as it remains the only region with a magnetic configuration capable of producing moderate flare activity within the next 24 hours.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
108.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4551 | S15W59 | Eko/BG | 2/1/0 |
| AR4557 | N06W28 | Dai/B | 4/0/0 |
| AR4560 | N14W01 | Dro/B | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h