Solar activity remains at baseline levels with quiet geomagnetic conditions. A brief uptick in planetary magnetic activity is expected later today, though no significant storms are anticipated.
⚠ Electron flux F3 reached · 4 more below
Geomagnetic conditions will likely transition from quiet to unsettled, with the Kp-index projected to reach 4.0 by late today.
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This brief period of elevated activity is expected to subside quickly as we move into the early hours of October 4th.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes.
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Observers at very high northern latitudes may see minor auroral activity if the Kp-index peaks as forecast, but there is no potential for displays in populated lower-latitude regions.
Monitor the evolution of active region AR4545 for signs of magnetic complexity that could increase the current 20% probability of M-class flares.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
127.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4545 | N20E33 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4546 | S18W59 | Hrx/A | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h