GEO: QUIET
2
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity remains at low levels with the planetary K-index holding steady at Kp 1-2. No significant geomagnetic disturbances are expected, maintaining a quiet environment for satellite and radio operations.
The solar disk currently features three active regions, though X-ray flux remains firmly in the background levels with only a single minor C-class flare observed in the last 12 hours. With an F10.7 flux of 136 sfu, the solar output is moderate but stable. The magnetosphere is undisturbed, reflecting the lack of significant solar wind drivers.
The current Kp-index of 1.3 is the primary indicator that the geomagnetic environment is stable and free from storm-level activity.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet with Kp indices between 1 and 2 for the next 24 hours. While an 80% probability for C-class flares remains due to active region complexity, the lack of eruptive potential suggests no impact on Earth’s near-space environment.
Aurora activity is currently restricted to high-latitude polar regions and is unlikely to be visible at mid-latitudes. Observers in northern regions should expect only faint or quiet auroral displays, if any.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4489 | S07W01 | Hax/A | 1/0/0 |
| AR4491 | S11E36 | Hrx/A | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the evolution of active region AR4491 as it rotates further into view; its magnetic configuration currently supports a minor 15% probability for M-class flare activity.