GEO: QUIET
3
A/B (quiet)
The solar environment remains currently quiet, with minimal geomagnetic disturbance observed or expected. While solar radio flux remains at a healthy moderate level, flare activity is limited to low-level C-class events.
Current geomagnetic conditions are stable with a Kp-index of 1.3. F10.7 radio flux is holding steady at 147 sfu, indicating a background level of activity consistent with moderate solar cycle progression. There are currently six active regions on the solar disk, but none are exhibiting significant magnetic complexity.
The current F10.7 radio flux of 147 sfu is the most relevant metric, as it confirms sustained, moderate solar activity that supports favorable high-frequency radio communication conditions despite the lack of major flares.
Geomagnetic activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours, with the Kp-index projected to briefly peak near 3.67 before subsiding. No significant geomagnetic storms are anticipated, and radio propagation should remain largely unaffected.
Aurora visibility is not expected for mid-latitudes. The current solar wind parameters are insufficient to drive significant auroral displays beyond the typical polar regions.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4482 | S09W56 | Hhx/A | 1/0/0 |
| AR4487 | N09W53 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4489 | S07E54 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
Monitor AR4482 and AR4489 for any changes in magnetic configuration that could increase the probability of M-class flares in the coming 24 hours.