GEO: QUIET
4
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity remains currently stable with quiet geomagnetic conditions across the globe. While the Sun is visually active with 29 active regions, no significant eruptive events are impacting Earth’s magnetosphere at this time.
The planetary K-index is resting at 0.7, indicating a very stable geomagnetic environment. Solar radio flux (F10.7) is measured at 142 sfu, reflecting a moderate level of solar output suitable for radio propagation. Current X-ray flux levels remain in the A/B background range, confirming the absence of significant flaring activity over the last several hours.
The F10.7 solar flux of 142 sfu is the most important metric, as it indicates a healthy, moderate level of solar ionization that continues to support stable high-frequency radio communication.
Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain quiet, with Kp indices hovering between 1 and 2 for the next 24 hours. While the probability of C-class flares remains high at 95%, the likelihood of significant M-class flares remains moderate, with no immediate threat of terrestrial impact.
Aurora activity is currently restricted to high-latitude polar regions. With no geomagnetic storming forecast, there is no expectation of aurora visibility for mid-latitude observers at this time.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4478 | S05W90 | Eko/BG | 0/0/0 |
| AR4482 | S09E54 | Eko/BG | 0/0/0 |
| AR4485 | S11W01 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4481 | N14E20 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
Monitor AR4482, currently positioned at S09E54, for potential magnetic evolution that could increase the probability of M-class flares as it rotates closer to the solar meridian.