Solar activity is currently quiet, though a rise in geomagnetic activity to Kp 4 is anticipated within the next 24 hours. The solar disk remains moderately active with several sunspot regions present.
⚠ Kp 4 expected · 4 more below
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to become unsettled, with Kp levels climbing to 4.0 by 21:00 UTC today.
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We anticipate a continuation of minor C-class flare activity, while the likelihood of significant M- or X-class events remains low at 10% and 1%, respectively.
At a Kp of 4, auroral activity will be confined to high latitudes.
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Observers in northern Canada, Scandinavia, and high-latitude regions may see weak displays, but visibility at mid-latitudes (40-60°N) is not expected.
Monitor the magnetic complexity of sunspot region AR4507, as its classification as Dsi suggests it is the most likely candidate for any unexpected impulsive activity.
▸ Detailed readings
R0
(24 h max R0)
S0
(24 h max S0)
165.0
sfu
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4503 | S17W67 | Cao/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4508 | N07E27 | Cso/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4511 | S09E53 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4507 | N04W00 | Dsi/BG | 0/0/0 |
| AR4509 | N11W75 | Cao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4506 | N11W17 | Bxo/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4510 | N12W29 | Cao/B | 0/0/0 |
Helios Observer · Data: NOAA SWPC · updated every 12 h