GEO: QUIET
6
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity remains in a quiet state with geomagnetic indices well below storm thresholds. While the environment is currently stable, AR4425 remains a region of interest due to its potential for moderate flare activity.
The geomagnetic field is quiet with a Kp-index of 0.7, reflecting a lack of significant solar wind disturbances. The F10.7 solar radio flux is at 113 sfu, indicating moderate levels of solar activity. Six active regions are currently visible on the solar disk, with AR4425 producing isolated C-class and M-class flare activity.
The 55% probability of M-class solar flares is the most significant metric, as it indicates a lingering potential for temporary radio signal degradation on the sunlit side of Earth.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain at quiet levels throughout the next 24 hours. The probability of C-class flares remains high, with a 55% chance of further M-class eruptions from existing active regions.
Aurora visibility is not expected at mid-latitudes (40-60°N). High-latitude observers may see only baseline background activity; no geomagnetic storming is currently forecast.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4420 | N16W29 | Fkc/BGD | 10/0/0 |
| AR4421 | S12W17 | Hax/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4423 | S05W10 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4424 | N16E06 | Dso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4425 | N05E36 | Ekc/BGD | 5/1/0 |
| AR4427 | S31E40 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
Monitor AR4425 for structural evolution, as its magnetic configuration currently supports moderate flare potential despite the otherwise calm space weather environment.