M @ 16:44 UTC · M @ 01:28 UTC
GEO: QUIET
9
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity remains elevated due to recurrent M-class flaring from active regions. Despite this X-ray activity, geomagnetic conditions currently remain quiet.
The solar disk shows persistent flaring, with three M-class events recorded in the last 12 hours. With an F10.7 index of 130 sfu and 9 active regions present, solar activity is in a moderate state. Geomagnetic conditions are currently stable at Kp 3, indicating a lack of significant solar wind disturbances reaching Earth at this time.
The current X-ray flux activity, specifically the recent M-class flares, is the primary metric indicating ongoing complexity in solar active regions.
Geomagnetic conditions are expected to remain quiet with Kp levels between 1.0 and 1.7 over the next 24 hours. While further C-class flaring is highly probable, the background X-ray flux is expected to remain within nominal ranges.
Aurora activity will be minimal and limited to high-latitude regions. Observers at mid-latitudes should not expect visible displays under current quiet geomagnetic conditions.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4459 | N14E21 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4458 | S04E07 | Dsi/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4457 | S08W40 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4455 | N13W05 | Cko/B | 5/2/0 |
| AR4446 | S15W60 | Cso/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4444 | S22W85 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4462 | N17E75 | Dao/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4461 | S20E72 | Dao/B | 3/1/0 |
| AR4460 | N22W59 | Dro/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor active region AR4455 for further flaring potential, as it has been the source of recent M-class activity.