GEO: QUIET
5
A/B (quiet)
Solar conditions are currently quiet, characterized by stable geomagnetic levels and low-level flare activity. While the sun remains active with multiple regions, no significant geomagnetic disturbances are expected.
The solar environment is marked by a steady F10.7 flux of 143 sfu, reflecting a moderately active photosphere. Geomagnetic activity is currently at Kp 2.3, following a brief period of minor instability. Seven active regions are currently monitored, though none are showing significant eruptive potential at this time.
The Kp-index forecast of 3.67 is the most important metric, as it indicates a trend toward unsettled conditions that may impact sensitive radio communications.
Expect a slight increase in geomagnetic agitation over the next 24 hours, with the Kp-index likely reaching 3.67 by late in the cycle. No significant radio blackouts are anticipated, although C-class flare activity remains probable due to the presence of multiple active regions.
Aurora visibility is not expected for mid-latitudes at these Kp levels. Observations will remain confined to high-latitude regions, where only standard, faint auroral displays may occur.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4481 | N14W33 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4487 | N09W01 | Cro/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4485 | S10W55 | Dai/BG | 0/0/0 |
| AR4486 | S17W86 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4482 | S09W00 | Dko/BG | 0/0/0 |
Monitor AR4485 and AR4482 for any magnetic complexity changes, as their ‘BG’ classification indicates potential for sudden energy release.