GEO: QUIET
5
A/B (quiet)
Current solar activity is quiet with low geomagnetic disturbance levels. The Sun is currently in a state of relative stability despite the presence of several active regions.
The planetary K-index is at 2.0, indicating a stable magnetosphere with no significant geomagnetic impacts. Solar radio flux remains below 100 sfu, suggesting a lower baseline of solar activity. While several active regions are present on the disk, overall X-ray flux is currently maintaining A/B class levels, indicating minimal flare activity.
The 55% probability of M-class flares is the primary metric to watch, as it suggests the potential for sudden solar radio interference if regional magnetic complexity increases.
Expect geomagnetic conditions to remain quiet, with only minor, short-lived fluctuations expected. The Kp index is forecast to peak near 3.0 during the next 24 hours, which remains well within the quiet range.
Aurora visibility is restricted to high latitudes. There is no significant expectation for mid-latitude auroral displays in the next 24 hours.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4441 | N08W45 | Eai/BG | 0/0/0 |
| AR4436 | N18W90 | Csi/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4439 | N07W02 | Hrx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4444 | S21E65 | Hsx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4443 | S16E10 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
Monitor active region AR4441 and AR4439 for any sudden evolution in magnetic complexity that could trigger a moderate M-class solar flare.