GEO: QUIET
3
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity remains at baseline levels with no significant geomagnetic disturbance expected. Current F10.7 flux measurements indicate a moderately active solar atmosphere without major flare threats.
The solar disk currently hosts three active regions, contributing to a 90% probability of C-class flares, though none have manifested significantly in the last 12 hours. The geomagnetic field is calm with a Kp-index of 2.3, indicating quiet conditions. Solar flux stands at 139 sfu, reflecting a steady, moderate state typical of current cycle progression.
The current Kp-index of 2.3 is the most critical metric as it confirms the magnetosphere is in a relaxed, non-storm state.
Conditions are expected to remain quiet to unsettled, with the Kp-index projected to trend downward to 1.67 by mid-day. No significant space weather disturbances or radio blackouts are anticipated within the next 24-hour window.
Auroral activity will be restricted to high-latitude regions near the poles. Mid-latitude observers are unlikely to see significant displays given the current low geomagnetic activity.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4463 | N17W41 | Hax/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4464 | S13W44 | Dao/B | 1/0/0 |
| AR4465 | N08E04 | Cao/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the evolution of active region AR4464; while flare potential is currently capped at C-class, any sudden magnetic complexity increase warrants closer scrutiny.