GEO: QUIET
6
A/B (quiet)
Solar activity is currently quiet, but conditions are expected to shift to active levels late in the day. A G1 (minor) geomagnetic storm is forecast to develop due to anticipated solar wind interactions.
The solar disk currently hosts eight active regions, with moderate C-class flare production observed. Geomagnetic conditions are stable with a Kp-index of 1.0. Solar radio flux remains at a moderate 105 sfu, indicating a baseline level of solar activity.
The forecast jump in Kp to 4.67 is the most critical metric as it signifies the onset of a minor geomagnetic disturbance which may influence satellite drag and high-latitude navigation.
Geomagnetic activity is expected to increase significantly after 21:00 UTC, reaching G1 levels (Kp 4.67). Radio communications are expected to remain unaffected by ionospheric absorption, though sensitive systems should monitor for minor fluctuations.
At a Kp of 4.67, auroral displays are unlikely to be visible at mid-latitudes (40-60°N). Observers at high latitudes, such as in northern Canada or Scandinavia, may witness quiet auroral activity once the disturbance manifests.
| Region | Location | Class | Flares C/M/X |
|---|---|---|---|
| AR4476 | N08W72 | Axx/A | 0/0/0 |
| AR4475 | S07W50 | Dai/BG | 1/0/0 |
| AR4477 | S13W14 | Bxo/B | 0/0/0 |
| AR4478 | S05E07 | Fki/BGD | 1/0/0 |
| AR4479 | N15W12 | Eki/BGD | 7/0/0 |
| AR4480 | S16W18 | Dso/B | 0/0/0 |
Monitor the G1 geomagnetic threshold crossing after 21:00 UTC for potential enhancements in solar wind speed or density.